(AK AZ CA CO FL GA IL IN IA MD MN MO NE NV NH NJ NM NC OH PA TX UT VA VT WA WI WY)

Alaska:

• 200% Voter Turnout in Alaska – Blue_In_AK on DU (Dec-21-05)
• AK: Democrats question (2004) vote results – Tabulation method…doubted – wilms on DU (Dec-21-05)
• State (AK) Refuses to Release Public Records-Claims Diebold Data is Proprietary – Wilms (Feb-07-06)
• State (Alaska) to turn over voting files from 2004 to Democrats – Blue_In_AK (Feb-11-06)
• “NO, YES, NO: Alaska Now Refuses Release of 2004 Election Data Citing Security Concerns!” – BradBlog (2/24/06)

Arizona:

• 27,878 Provisional Votes thrown out. by Wilms (1/30/05)
• ‘Serious problems’ found in AZ election results – garybeck (Wed May-25-05)
• Pentagon Seeks Power Over Elections in Arizona – Wilms (Jan-30-06)
• AZ: FBI seizes ballots in close ’04 legislative race – Wilms (Feb-03-06)
• 3. AZ: Maricopa County (Phoenix) – Huge Republican Election Fraud Scandal – kster (Feb-22-06)

California:

• Editorial: The new Palm Beach? (San Diego) (11/27)
• New analysis of California data – backs up Madsen’s claims – READ IT! from ClintCooper2003 on DU (12/6)
• Mocking democracy: San Diego Mayoral Race Results Certified from Rose Siding on DU (12/8)
• Citizens Request Recount in San Diego Mayoral Race – “Enron by the Sea” – raw story (Thursday August 18, 2005)
• California Election Protection Network – (10/04/2005)
• Why they went after Kevin Shelley and what it means for CA elections – Amaryllis on DU (Sun Nov-06-05)
• Crime Report: Los Angeles Denies Public Access to Central Tabulator – Einsteinia on DU (Wed Nov-09-05)
• Is Los Angeles Above the Law? – Einsteinia (Sat Nov-05-05)
• Brad: Something very rotten suddenly occuring in CA, plus more on OH – Amaryllis on DU (Fri Nov-18-05)
• California Citizens Coordinate Diebold Takedown – GuvWorld on DU (Dec-17-05 )
• Deborah Bowen (CA Dem4SoS) throws down gauntlet on secret vote counting! – Peace Patriot (Dec-31-05)
• SHIT!!! Diebold to be certified in CA … with yet-unstated conditions. – nicknameless (Feb-21-06)
• Despite Illegalities, Diebold Election Machines Certified In CA– GuvWurld ( Feb-19-06)
• Is The GOP “Shock-The-Vote Gang” Planning to Heist California? – AtLiberty (Feb-21-06)
• WOW! ** CA’s Sen Bowen Rips rethug SoS over Diebold Certification ** (3/1) – nicknameless (Mar-02-06)
• LEGAL ACTION TO BE FILED IN CALIFORNIA TO ‘HALT USE OR PURCHASE OF DIEBOLD VOTING MACHINES’ IN STATE! – BradBlog (3/20/2006)
• Choice Point in CA?! THOUSANDS already kicked off of voter rolls.– nicknameless (Mar-30-06)
• CA’s rethug SoS made a deal with bush to eliminate eligible voters!! – nicknameless (Mar-31-06)

Colorado:

• Activists protest electronic voting Denver Post (11/21)
• Colorado protest pictures..spread these around the internet! Denver Voice (11/18)
• Major fraud in Colorado? from ClintCooper2003 on DU (12/12)

Florida:

• CLOSE TO EVIDENCE!!! – palm beach county, FL
• I Smell a Rat…odor of Republicanus floridius [by a polling expert]
• Were the absentee ballots lost or stolen? Either way, it’s a crime. (Broward County)
• Orange County discrepancy–8,400 VOTES!
• 8400 Vote Orange County Bush Jump – Absentee Ballots?
• Congressional candidate Jeff Fisher says Florida vote was hacked, and he knows who did it and how!
• Jeff Fisher – sounding real and real scary… Reader Beware
• Something Rotten in the State of Florida
• Broward machines count backward
• Very Odd Results in Florida
• Bush wins by 5% in Florida yet his Latino vote in Florida was down 15%!!!
• Palm Beach County Logs 88,000 More Votes Than Voters
• MiamiHerald.com: “Hackers rigging voting machines a real possibility”
• Busting the Dixiecrat myth
• Did Bush Lose… Again? (“optical scam” machines…debunks dixiecrat myth)
• Volusia County election records just got put on lockdown – Bev Harris (MUST READ!)
• Local couple travel to Florida to watch polls
• WAS IT HACKED? – Orlando Weekly News
• Berkeley’s published report is available to read. Oh-oh, Jeb. (at LEAST 130,000 extra Bush votes)
• ‘Stinking Evidence’ of Possible Election Fraud Found in Florida
• Florida counties stonewall records requests. – update on blackboxvoting.org (11/22)
• Volusia County lawsuit alleges irregularities in Nov. 2, 2004 election – blackboxvoting.org (11/24)
• UPDATE: Florida litigation on voting issues, from Black Box Voting by Bev Harris (11/24)
• ***Election 2004: 73 SCHOOLS LOCKEDDOWN IN PALM BEACH *** Carl Brennan on DU (11/26)
• Miami Herald article shows that Kerry may have won Florida! from pointsoflight on DU – BRILLIANT! (11/29)
• Black Box Voting files lawsuit against Palm Beach County Elections Division (11/30)
• Dixiecrats or not, FL results unbelievable from ccarter84 on DU (12/1)
• Florida – Suit seeks to overturn election – from dzika on DU (12/2)
• Florida Election Anomalies and Voter Suppression – collection of links(12/2)
• Comparison of Democratic and Republican Populations and Vote Counts in Florida from 2000 to 2004 (12/5)
• FLORIDA – 33 OF 34 VOTED FOR KERRY BUT THE MACHINE CAME UP BUSH from TruthIsAll on DU (12/5)
• Who supervised the removal of 21 Florida e-voting machines in Broward County? BlueLemur (12/6)
• BUSTED? Pynchon thinks there’s something rotten in Volusia from sabra on DU (12/8)
• MAJOR FRAUD IN FLORIDA? from ClintCooper2003 on DU (12/12)
• Fraud(Default to Bush) documented in Florida touchscreen county machines by berniew1 (12/22)
• ‘New Times Broward-Palm Beach’ Jumps into Feeney, Yang (YEI), Curtis Fray! [UPDATED] – BradBlog (2/08/05)
• Whistle blower alleges U.S. Rep. Tom Feeney might have rigged South Florida Election from pbartch (2/19/05)
• S. Florida : Sorry, your votes won’t count. We made a mistake. from berniew1 (2/28/05)
• FL Optiscans vs. Touchscreens:Prob of 9.03% discrepancy-1 in 12.7 trillion – TruthIsAll (Sun Apr-17-05)
• FL Vote analysis: Using registration, machine type, NEP Party ID stats. – TruthIsAll (Sun Apr-17-05)
• Are these Florida Precinct Reports a smoking gun or not? – adolfo (Wed Apr-06-05)
• Discrepancies found in 35 percent of Miami-Dade precincts by garybeck (Fri May-06-05)
• Votes counted three times (Dade County) audit shows – IChing (Wed May-25-05)
• Optical scan machines hacked in Florida – rightfoot (Sun May-29-05)
• Palm Beach County fails BBV audit – twilight zone, basically – rightfoot (Wed Jun-08-05)
• Leon County Fla. Report on Hacked Machines – BeFree (Sat Jun-04-05)
• FEMA Chief Brown Paid Millions in False Claims to Help Bush Win Fla. Votes in ’04 By Jason Leopold (Sat Sep-10-05)
• BREAKING: Florida Improperly Certified Diebold TSX – AmBlue on DU (Mon Nov-28-05)
• Leon County dumps Diebold!!! BBV Breaking News!!! – Einsteinia on DU ( Dec-16-05)
• Brad Blog: Volusia County, FL Dumps Diebold Too! – understandinglife (Dec-16-05)
• Watchdog Group Questions 2004 Fla. Vote (+) – kster (Feb-24-06)
• Miami Herald: Election official hammered for telling truth about Diebold – Amaryllis (Mar-08-06)
• “AP: 100,000 ERRORS REPORTED ON SEQUOIA VOTING MACHINES IN PALM BEACH, FL 2004 ELECTION!” – BradBlog (2/23/06)
• FL: Ion Sancho Initiates Legal Proceedings Against Diebold – Wilms (Mar-08-06)
• Gov. Jeb Bush, S.o.S. Sue Cobb threaten Leon Co. election takeover! – Steve A Play (Mar-08-06)
• St. Pete Times: “No conspiracy needed to support paper trail” -MSM, guys! – Amaryllis (Mar-13-06)

Georgia:

• Mark Crispin Miller: Secret ballot compromised in Georgia! – (Fri Jun-24-05)
• Congresswoman McKinney Reveals Shocking Data on Diebold and Elections in Georgia – Fly by night (Wed Jul-20-05)

Illinois:

• Chicago Tribune reporting many problems with Sequoia machines in Illinois – xray s (Mar-23-06)

Indiana:

• Computer glitch still baffles county clerk (affects Dem county in Indiana)
• Another screw-up in Indiana! Kerry losing thousands of votes to Bednarik.
• Voting machine glitch changes election
• 3 more counties report errors Franklin Co. equipment trouble wasn’t an isolated incident
• IN: Centralized Registration Database PROBLEMS. Test May 2nd. – autorank (Mar-20-06)

Iowa:

• Bush won Iowa by 10,000 (less than 1%–qualifies for a recount) by carolab on DU (11/18)

Maryland:

• Observers find 201 e-voting problems in Maryland by Grant Gross (11/23)
• In Response to Hursti Hack, MD Election Admin. Expresses ‘Great Concern’ – Wilms (Feb-08-06)
• UNCERTIFIED! (Maryland) – Bill Bored (Feb-18-06)
• Bradblog: VERY good news RE: Diebold in MD! Go get ’em, gov & MD house! – Amaryllis (Mar-06-06)
• TrueVote MD releases docs detailing Diebold failures, violations of law – Amaryllis (Mar-08-06)
• Maryland House votes to oust Diebold machines – FogerRox (Mar-10-06)
• Brad:MD House Votes 137 to 0 to Ban Diebold Touch-Screens in 2006! – Amaryllis (Mar-11-06)
• “Touch Screen Voting Isn’t the Right Answer” Balt.Sun-This is really good!– Amaryllis (Apr-01-06)

Minnesota:

• Major fraud in Minnesota? from ClintCooper2003 on DU (12/12)
• Please Help! Vote siphoning from Kerry to 3rd parties in Minnesota – IndyOp (Sat Jul-23-05)

Missouri:

• “Report of evidence sent to US Attorneys, Missouri Reps, State Auditor etc” Matt Fox, Ph.D. (11/29)

Nebraska:

• More Votes than Voters in Nebraska

Nevada:

• A CRY FOR HELP FROM BATTLE-STATION NEVADA by shraby on DU (11/20)
• nevada! please help on DU (11/21)
• BREAKING NEWS: Glibs to Recount NM and NV!!
• for everyone asking questions about the NV paper trail … from NVMojo on DU (11/30)
• JUDGE TO CHALLENGE BUSH ELECTORAL VOTES IN NEVADA from Karenca on DU (11/30)
• Inside the Nevada Numbers: Christmas Comes Early for the Republicans from ignatzmouse on DU (11/30)
• Why the “Greens” Dropped Nevada from Recount Efforts…Just So You Know. from KoKo01 on DU (12/5)
• Judge orders release of Nevada presidential election public records from Amaryllis on DU (1/25/05)
• NEVADA LEGAL SHOWDOWN from JoMama49 on DU (1/20/05)

New Hampshire:

• Presidential ballots to be recounted
• NH Recount shows Straight Dem Party votes miscounted! by FullCountNotRecount on DU (11/20)
• Recount finds few changes (bad news, but of course only 11 of 301 precincts were recounted..hmmm) (11/30)
• NH: Doing time for election fraud!!! NH Republican – autorank on DU (Dec-20-05)

New Jersey:

• Proposed law in NJ to outlaw paper ballots – FogerRox (Feb-10-06)
• NJ Appeals Court Reinstates Lawsuit Challenging Electronic Voting – Wilms (Feb-13-06)

New Mexico:

• Fishy New Mexico Numbers
• NM – Absentee and Provisional Ballot Rejection Rate – 50%+
• NM could flip for Kerry (it has tightened dramatically) 11/15
• weirdness in NM
• Bingo! “Prima Facie” for New Mexico from indigoblue on DU (11/29)
• BREAKING NEWS: Glibs to Recount NM and NV!!
• New Mexico Was Blue: 18,659 Missing E-Votes from ignatzmouse on DU (12/5)
• Strong evidence/doc. Kerry won New Mexico-Make sure Recount Happens from berniew1 on DU (12/22)
• THEY HAVE FILED LAWSUITS IN NEW MEXICO!!!! from pbartch on DU (1/25/05)
• New Mexico lawsuit update – garybeck – SolarBus.org (Thu Sep-29-05)
• Legal Battle for 2004 Recount Continues in New Mexico – by David Edwards (9/06/2005)
• BradBlog: Plaintiffs Suddenly Blocked in New Mexico ’04 Election Lawsuit – Nothing Without Hope on DU (Sat Nov-12-05)
• Looks like Bill Richardson (NM) has turned into a lion for paper ballot!! – Stevepol (Jan-29-06)

North Carolina:

• Unofficial Audit of NC Election: Comprehensive Case for Fraud by ignatzmouse on DU
• NC Unofficial Audit Part 2: Inside the Black Box by ignatzmouse on DU (11/22)
• Election problems due to a software glitch (11,283 x-tra for Bush in N.C )
• Fiasco in North Carolina
• NC Transfer Error Misses 12,000 Votes
• State to probe Gaston election – Charlotte Observer (11/19)
• NC Problems reported in the media by pointoflight on DU (11/22)
• Trail of Electronic Voting Uncovered: A Summary of NC Findings by ignatzmouse on DU (11/23)
• North Carolina’s ballot blues By JOYCE MCCLOY (11/27)
• A Florida Style Nightmare – North Carolina Citizens Demand Verified Voting Measures (11/28)
• North Carolina is contender for most fraud & glitches: new documentation from berniew1 (3/04/05) Video: Carteret Citizens whose votes were lost speak out – WillYourVoteBCounted (Wed Jul-27-05)
• Bradblog: Diebold certified in NC after all by former Diebold rep! – Amaryllis on DU (Thu Dec-01-05)
• Diebolding NC – the timeline,cronies, ties to NC corruption investigation – WillYourVoteBCounted on DU (Sun Dec-04-05)
• Red State NC Fights Back against Diebold! Another Lawsuit Filed! – KoKo01 on DU (12-13-05)

Ohio:

• OH Vote Suppression: 92,000 optiscan/punchcards didn’t record vote
• Ohio voters tell of Election Day troubles at hearing
• Slip-sliding away in Columbus
• Better Dead Than Red – The story Ken Blackwell didn’t want you to read.
• KERRY WON OHIO – JUST COUNT THE BALLOTS AT THE BACK OF THE BUS – Greg Palast
• A Legitimate Recount Effort in Ohio
• A report on the election from an Attorney that was “on the ground” in Ohio
• Errors plague voting process in Ohio, Pa.
• Unravelling the Mystery of the Cuyahoga County vote totals
• Machine Error Gives Bush Extra Ohio Votes
• Ohio Poll Worker on the Rigged Vote
• Why Did CNN Change Their Exit Poll Data for Ohio After 1:00 AM?
• And so the sorting and discarding of Kerry votes begins
• Who Counts in Ohio
• The Ohio Code – by Atrios
• The Perfect Election Day Crime
• GOP Vote Suppression: A Crime Against the U.S. Constitution
• Statistical Evidence: Ohio election rigged
• Notes from Ohio voter suppression hearing in Columbus 11/15
• Some ballots counted twice
• Document reveals Columbus, Ohio voters waited hours as election officials held back machines
• 93,000 Extra Votes In Cuyahoga County -Outrage In Ohio
• Possible Proof of fraud in one bit of testimony.
• Democrats take up fight over ballots
• Vote rigging by machine allocation in Franklin County, Ohio
• Sample Right-wing Voter Suppression Letter
• Precincts with only 21 votes in Cuyahoga, OH:218,981 less votes ’00 to ’04
• Hijinx in Ohio?
• Hearings on Ohio voting put 2004 election in doubt
• Lawyers to challenge election in Ohio
• Blackwell Violates Ohio State Law?
• Ohio Presidential Results to be Challenged by Stephen Rosenfeld (11/20)
• Hearings on Ohio voting put 2004 election in doubt by Bob Fitrakis & Harvey Wasserman (11/18)
• Ohio counties w Registration exceeding 100% of the voting age by truehawk on DU (11/19)
• Election Day rolls include people who couldn’t—and shouldn’t—vote – Columbus Dispatch (10/24)
• Ohio hearings show massive GOP vote manipulation by Harvey Wasserman (11/21)
• One Ohio County (Cuhayoga) had 55,434 (at minimum) over votes. by jsamuel at DU (11/20)
• UPDATE: SOLID Proof of Vote Suppression in OH by markusd at dailyKOS (11/20)
• First hand reports by other Ohio volunteers by Ray Beckerman (11/18)
• How the Ohio election was rigged for Bush by Bob Fitrakis (11/22)
• Recount efforts in Ohio by Kerry intensify by Adam Stone (11/22)
• Cuyahoga County Ohio – List of 8k “Incomplete” Registration Cards…by sabra on DU (11/22)
• Blackwell sued over Cuyahoga vote tally by James Ewinger (11/27)
• More Interesting Ohio Data… please read by TennisGuy2004 on DU (11/23)
• 8,099 Cuyahoga ballots ruled invalid by Diane Solov (11/23)
• New Ohio voter transcripts feed floodtide of doubt about Republican election manipulation (11/25)
• More voting questions raised by Jon Craig (11/25)
• Widespread Election Fraud in Cleveland? by Bob Fertik (11/19)
• CUYAHOGA COUNTY: MASSIVE Punchcard machine outages by Chili on DU (11/28)
• Blackwell Denies Public Access to Poll Books in Trumbull County from rehema on DU (11/28)
• “Prima Facie” evidence of Ohio election fraud — Pacifica Radio from jamboi on DU (11/28)
• Kerry Supports Ohio Vote Investigation, Jackson says by Steven Rosenfeld (11/28)
• Re-Vote, Not Recount, in Ohio by Anne Pfeiffer (11/29)
• Dec. 4th Ohio Rally!
• Ohio tally fit for Ukraine (11/30)
• Kerry campaign joins the glib lawsuit in OH!!! from Wordie on DU (11/30)
• Kerry loses about 400 votes to 3rd parties in Cleveland? 1 in 10^50 odds from jfern on DU (12/1)
• Major vote suppression based on race…And its actionable. from pointoflight on DU (12/1)
• MUST SEE! Cliff Arnebeck Link on C-Span re: FRAUD!!! from Verve on DU (12/2)
• Conyers and Other Congressman to Hold Forum on Voting Irregularities in Ohio(12/3)
• Ohio Voter Turn Out Turned Off!!! from Ronbrynaert on DU (12/3)
• WHY HAVEN’T THEY COUNTED A QUARTER MILLION VOTES IN OHIO? Greg Palast (12/5)
• Kerry lost 369 votes at one Ohio polling place, 115 at another, hundreds at others on DailyKOS (12/2)
• BAD COUNTS CERTIFIED in Cuyahoga County OH from k8conant on DU (12/7)
• Graphics of Disenfranchisement, Turnout choked by too few machines – mirror of DU page (12/7)
• Ohio election fraud uproar blasting to new level by Steve Rosenfeld, Bob Fitrakis and Harvey Wasserman (12/7)
• Video Highlights of Rep. Conyers’ “Ohio Voting Irregularities” Forum .wmv from crooksandliars.com (12/8)
• Documentation that Kerry Won Ohio; (the recount will prove it) from berniew1 on DU (12/9)
• Why history demands an Ohio revote by Harvey Wasserman & Bob Fitrakis (12/10)
• Triad machines produce 101,506 more Bush Votes than expected in Ohio from IndyOp on DU (12/10)
• More votes than voters in Ohio – absentee votes inflated from BR_Parkway on DU (12/10)
• GROUNDS to OVERTURN the election in OHIO from k8conant on DU (12/11)
• Disturbing occurance in Warren County, Ohio from yankeefanatic3 on DU (12/12)
• Cuts in precincts add to voter lines – Akron Beacon (12/12)
• Blackwell Locks Down Ohio Voting Records from shraby on DU (12/12)
• Smoking Gun of Election Fraud is in Ken Blackwell’s Hand By Anthony Wade (12/12)
• Ohio Recount Affidavit – Richard Hayes Phillips (12/12)
• Ohio pre-certification oddities – vanishing votes etc. from harmonyguy on DU (12/12)
• A READABLE, CONVINCING summary of Ohio vote fraud analyses from IndyOp on DU (12/12)
• Ohio lockdown a case of prima facie election fraud? from pointsoflight on DU (12/12)
• Hacking the vote in Lucas County by Richard Hayes Phillips, Ph.D. (12/12)
• Update from Greene County Ohio – Sworn Affidavit from dzika on DU (12/14)
• OHIO sure knows how to count quickly!! from ClarkinMich on DU (12/14)
• Blackwell Refuses to Cooperate with House Judiciary Democrats from cyn2 on DU (12/14)
• “House Judiciary Ohio Forum Hears of Recount Fraud Plans” –Report from BreakForNews on DU (12/13)
• Ohio Electoral College Chooses Bush After Challenge Filed (12/13)
• Ohio Vote Fraud Battle Heats Up – Blackwell Is In Deep Trouble! from sabra on DU (12/13)
• Here is a specific Ohio law Blackwell violated–I need help getting arrest from Vote4Kerry on DU (12/14)
• Here are the Petition and Injuntion in the Arnebeck Case!!! from keithjx on DU (12/14)
• Witness says voting company tampered with machines after vote and tried to plant false information into Ohio recount (12/14)
• Proof of Ohio Election Fraud Exposed By William Rivers Pitt (12/15)
• Rep. Conyers Seeks Federal Inquiry into Ohio Voting – Buzzflash (12/15)
• Ohio Justice Throws Out Election Challenge – Associated Press (12/16)
• What R the odds of PERFECT RECOUNTS in multiple counties from texpatriot2004 on DU (12/16)
• Ohio, Fairfield County, suspends recount…UPDATED WITH REPORT from mtnester on DU (12/16)
• Kerry-Edwards letter to Blackwell: Please Analyze the Words.. from Shalom on DU (12/16)
• In addition to TRIAD, Diebold hacks the recount. – rawstory (12/16)
• Chaos in Cuyahoga? 49,000 Votes Disappear into the Ether …then found? from Iceburg on DU (12/16)
• Ohio vote count battles escalate amidst new evidence of potential criminal activity by Bob Fitrakis (12/18)
• ES&S Machines in Mahoning County Defaulted to Bush! from emlev (12/22)
• Mercer County: Triad Mechanic Permitted to Disassemble Tabulator from Carolab on DU (12/22)
• Report from Recount Observer, Lucas County, Ohio from carolab on DU (12/22)
• Blackwell crimes in 2004 pres. race already an issue for 2006 gov. race… from EMunster on DU (12/22)
• Ohio’s Perfectly Paranormal Recount Results from rainbow4321 on DU (12/22)
• Ohio recount- Cuyahoga County ballots pre-sorted from mdb on DU (12/22)
• Coshocton Co. Results: Kerry to Gain 40,000+ in Ohio Hand Recount from dzika on DU (12/12)
• Arnebeck ALSO Requests Emergency Hearing to Impound Machines…. from EMunster on DU (12/22)
• Voters Refile Challenge Of Presidential Results – Associated Press (12/22)
• Blackwell’s office had secret slush funds and Perry County lawsuit from WiseFawn on DU (12/22)
• Conyers Letter to Triad asking for cheat sheets from Twist_U_Up on DU (12/26)
• Cuyahoga Cty – 2000 Bush Tallies Used to Fake 2004 Tallies? from 59sunburst on DU (12/27)
• Ohio Official Refuses Interview Over Vote – Associated Press (12/27)
• ODDS OF A FAIR VOTE IN COSHOCTON COUNTY, OH: 1 of 17,000 ! from TruthIsAll on DU (12/28)
• Ohio Recount -Officialy Over- Ends in Laughable Outcome from BreakForNews on DU (12/28)
• OHIO HAS 11,360 PRECINCTS from stella2cat on DU (12/30)
• Conyers to Object to Ohio Electors, Requests Senate Allies By William Rivers Pitt (12/30)
• The Strange Death of American Democracy: Endgame in Ohio by Michael Keefer (1/24/05)
• A NEW legal challenge in Ohio!!! from ClassWarrior on DU (1/25/05)
• Proof of Vote fraud has happened in Ohio before from phantomvotes on DU (1/25/05)
• LETTER: Four House Dems ask for Ohio criminal investigation from rawstory on DU (1/14/05)
• CONYERS AND OTHERS TO FILE AMICUS BRIEF IN OHIO SUPREME COURT by WilliamPitt (2/15/05)
• Ohio recount volunteers allege electoral tampering, legal violations and possible fraud – RawStory (1/26/05)
• FBI checking Clermont voting – Congressman claims tampering – By Reid Forgrave (2/09/05)
• EIRS case doc. of vote switching, dirty tricks, suppression in Ohio by berniew1 (2/07/05)
• S.O.S. in Ohio did not allow recount of 3% sample in DRE TS counties-why? by berniew1 (2/15/05)
• Ohio Attorney-General’s attack on election protection attorneys draws mountain of documentation on state’s stolen election (2/03/05)
• Green recount volunteers found signif. irregularities inmost Ohio counties by berniew1 (1/29/05)
• Ohio has a history of hacking the vote from brindis_desala on DU (3/10/05)
• researchers at Nashville conference-strong case Kerry won Ohio – berniew1 (Mon Apr-11-05)
• Fired Ohio Election Board staffer defiant over “retribution” – Bob Fitrakis (May 25, 2005)
• Attack on election board whistleblower and leaked Blackwell threats re-fire Ohio’s election theft scandal – by Bob Fitrakis (May 23, 2005)
• UPDATE: ‘Democratic’ Election Officials’ Feet Held to Fire in Hocking County, OH – BradBlog ( 6/9/2005)
• Something Rotten in Ohio By Gore Vidal, The Nation (June 14, 2005)
• Everything you ever wanted to know about CoinGate in Ohio (June 22, 2005)
• Evidence of Fraud and Disenfranchisement in Ohio, 2004 : A Partial List (June 22, 2005)
• Taka a look at what OHIO thinks about Bush and tell me Kerry lost it.. – TruthIsAll (Tue Jun-28-05)
• Ohio Democrats victims of break-in – MelissaB (Sat Jul-02-05)
• Voter registration data could provide the key to the 2004 Ohio election – Time for change (Tue Jul-12-05)
• 10,000 Registration Documents Shredded in Hocking County? -NoBushSpokenHere (Thu Jul-14-05)
• Too Close for Comfort – Paul Hackett Congressional Race – (August 03, 2005)
• GOP Ohio Miracle of the Moment! – BradBlog (8/2/2005)
• about those white stickers…… – garybeck (Wed Aug-24-05)
• Ohio Governor’s ethics violations expose money trail to stolen 2004 election – by Bob Fitrakis & Harvey Wasserman (August 30, 2005)
• What if NY Times was right about massive Dem. increase in OH voter reg.? – Time for change on DU (Fri Jul-22-05)
• NVRI: Federal Judge Sets Expedited Schedule for Lawsuit (Ohio!) – eomer on DU (Sat Sep-17-05)
• DNC Report Conclusion of “No Widespread Fraud” in Ohio Election Disputed – Time for change on DU (Tue Sep-27-05)
• Eye On Ohio: The Informed Citizen’s Guide to the 2004 Election (11-30-05)
• OH: Republican Mole at Toledo Blade Spiked Coingate in Jan 2004 – autorank on DU (Thu Oct-06-05)
• Watergate-style money laundering indictments stoke Ohio’s stolen election by kster on DU (Fri Oct-28-05)
• Ohio Precinct-level Exit Poll Data Show Virtually Irrefutable Evidence of Vote Miscount sunshinekathy (Wed Nov-02-05)
• disconnect between the pre-election polls and the “reported” election results in Ohio on Issue 1 vs. Issues 2-5 – (Wed Nov-09-05)
• Update on purging of > 100 K voters from Cuyahoga Co. voter roles – Time for change (Wed Nov-09-05)
• State plans to investigate voting chaos; Tuesday’s problems are latest for Lucas County – OH – althecat (Thu Nov-10-05)
• Fitrakis & Wasserman discuss Ohio’s referendum electronic “defeats” – AtLiberty on DU (Sat Nov-12-05)
• The Staggeringly Impossible Outcome for Ohio’s ’05 Election – lizzieforkerry on DU (Sun Nov-13-05)
• The Role of Voter Registration Purging/Fraud in Kerry’s loss of Ohio – Time for change on DU (Wed Nov-09-05)
• Coup d’etat Redux in Ohio! – Einsteinia on DU ( Dec-12-05)
• OH: New Blackwell Directive: No More RANDOM recounts – mod mom on DU (Dec-16-05)
• Brad Blog: Bob Ney of Ohio’s Connection To Electoral Fraud – AtLiberty (Jan-10-06)
• The Gun Is Smoking! Election Archive Releases Analysis of OH! – Stevepol (Jan-21-06)
• Evidence of Fraud and Disenfranchisement in Ohio, 2004 : A Partial List – Wilms (Jan-19-06)
• Grand Theft Election Ohio.com – McCamy Taylor (Jan-21-06)
• Study of Provisionals in Cleveland – mod mom (Jan-25-06)
• FREE PRESS: OH GOP Poised to Gut Election Protection – mod mom (Feb-07-06)
• Revote in Ohio After More Votes Than Voters Recorded on Diebold Machines – Wilms (Feb-07-06)
• IMPORTANT: The Effects of PURGES in Franklin Co., Ohio: – mod mom (Feb-18-06)
• Hackett has election stolen then betrayed by Party – autorank (Feb-16-06)
• Hang On…: Cobb Demands Reinstatement of Ohio Recount Lawsuit – Wilms (Feb-23-06)
• We Need Help in Confirming Election Fraud in Cleveland 2004 – Time for change (Feb-25-06)
• Cleveland Audit Reveals Vote Count Discrepancy in Bush’s Favor–Need Help! – Time for change (Mar-03-06)
• Did 308,000 cancelled Ohio voter registrations put Bush back in the White – kster (Mar-03-06)
• The new face of apartheid: J. Kenneth Hackwell – Bob Fitrakis (March 30, 2006)
• An Analogous Event to the Warren County “Lockdown” – Colombia 1998 – Time for change (Mar-15-06)

Pennsylvania:

• Dirty work at Philly polls
• You think democracy is dead in OH? Get a load of PA! – Bill Bored (Jan-26-06)
• We lost a Big One in PA today…And I can’t figure out how… – Junkdrawer (Mar-04-06)
• Sequoia E-Vote Systems Found ‘Hackable’ in PA, Testing Shut Down After Machine Failures! – BradBlog (3/30/2006)

Texas:

• Problems in Texas With E-Slate and Straight-Party Vote from TexasLawyer on DU (11/30)
• Kaufman County Election Scandal by Greg Moses (12/27)
• Widespread vote machine fraud in Texas-Austin,Houston,SanAntonio from berniew1 on DU (1/15/05)
• High court observers see (Texas) redistricting case as pivotal – papau on DU (Dec-14-05)
• Brad:New voting machine co. whistleblower speaks out; TX primary afftected – Amaryllis (Mar-13-06)
• BREAKING: E-MACHINES FAIL! TX PRIMARY RECOUNT HALTED BY SEC OF STATE! – BradBlog (Mar-22-06)

Utah:

• 33,000 ballots lost in shuffle – Utah County
• Utah Election Auditor discovers Diebold real and potential problems – papau (Mar-19-06)

Vermont:

• Vermont Does Hand Counts! Please READ – interesting! – by TennisGuy2004 on DU (11/21)

Virginia:

• Trouble with voting Machines in Virginia – M_Demo_M on DU (Tue Nov-08-05)

Washington:

• Republicans file suit to limit King County recount Seattle Post-Intelligencer (11/21)
• “Serious problems in King County Elections Department” – (11/23)
• Snohomish county, Washington – evidence of systematic machine fraud from tex-wyo-dem on DU (1/20/05)
• USCountVotes: Evidence of Election Irregularities in Snohomish County, WA – eomer (Fri Apr-15-05)
• GOP challenges rights of hundreds of voters (WA) – cal04 on DU ( Sat Nov-05-05)

Wisconsin

• Error nets Bush 100 extra votes – By GREG J. BOROWSKI (June 7, 2005)
• Wisconsin Approves the Vote-PAD Assistive Device – kster (Feb-18-06)

Wyoming:

• There are even major irregularities in Wyoming! by pointsoflight on DU (11/25)

• An Open Letter to … the US Media Who are Trying to Whitewash  the 2004 Election Scandal
• Poll: Voters Relieved by Decisive Election – corporate media is at it again – “Decisive Election” HA!
• Keith Olbermann Blog at MSNBC first to break election theft on mainstream media!
• WATCH THIS OLBERMANN clip online. Yup. It was STOLEN (windows media)
• Black Box – what role did the tv news play?
• Data and Disinformation in the Mainstream Media About Election “irregularities”
• The Randi Rhodes Show – on Air America
• More Key Reporting by Media on Election Problems
• Beyond “conspiracy theories,” election irregularities get scant media attention
• Conservatives rail against MSNBC’s Olbermann for reporting election irregularities
• Media Accused of Ignoring Election Irregularities by Mark Jurkowitz
• MEDIA CONTACTS– nice huge list
• AP has written a crap report about the vote count. We need to debunk it.
• The NYT belittles the second theft of an election, as they did the first – Brad Friedman (11/20)
• Media largely ignored Berkeley study on Florida voting irregularities – MMFA (11/22)
• Bush Cartel Brazen Hypocrisy -U.S. Calls on Ukraine to Probe Election (11/22)
• Election Angst Update: Clark Kent Vs the Media Wimps by Maureen Farrell (11/23)
• Media Blackout on Election Fraud by Media News Group (11/26)
• NY Times Actually Recognizes E-Voting Concerns Exist! from Brad Friedman (11/28)
• Newsweek Recognizes E-Voting Problems Too! from Brad Friedman (11/28)
• AP Article about FRAUD!!!! (On Yahoo & Guardian) from meganmonkey on DU (11/29)
• Activists continue to challenge Ohio ballots on CNN! (11/29)
• Newsweek technology columnist puts positive spin on BBV audits…from SleepingDragon on DU (12/1)
• DEMAND THAT CNN RE-CHECK THEIR FACTS on the Election Fraud Report from KaryninMiami on DU (12/5)
• New round of challenges expected as Ohio certifies vote – Associated Press (12/6)
• Underreported election fraud news stories – 11- 2 to present. 106 articles from tommcintyre on DU (12/6)
• US Election Theft is main stream news….IN DENMARK! from Ojai Person on DU (12/7)
• As Questions Keep Coming, Ohio Certifies Its Vote Count – NY Times (12/7)
• Isn’t the Ohio Recount More Newsworthy Than Ukraine’s? from By Matt Hutaff (12/7)
• Groups Seek to Address Voting Troubles – Associated Press (12/7)
• Two Candidates Request Recount in Ohio – Associated Press (12/7)
• OUR PLEA TO THE INTERNATIONAL MEDIA from Alizaryn on DU (12/8)
• Jackson Vows to Continue Ohio Vote Probe – Associated Press (12/8)
• Doubts Persist About Election Results – Associated Press (12/10)
• Mark Crispin Miller takes on NYT for Silence on Voter Fraud: ’bout time!!! from jamboi on DU (12/12)
• Silencing the vote By: David Lytel, Baltimore Sun (12/9)
• Kerry Lawyer Seeks Ohio Ballot Inspection – Associated Press (12/12)
• Ohio Electors Vote Despite Challenge – Complaint Alleges 130656 Kerry votes in 36 counties switched to Bush – AP (12/13)
• Ohio Official Refuses Interview Over Vote – Associated Press (12/27)
• NEWSWEEK ! — Jesse Jackson on why he thinks Kerry WON THE ELECTION from IndyOp on DU (12/30)
• Did the “Liberal Media” Get the 2004 Election All Wrong? By Gene C. Gerard (1/26/05)
• VANITY FAIR’s Christopher Hitchens thinks the OHIO VOTE WAS STOLEN by Kos (2/08/05)
• The New York Times killed a story that could have changed the election—because it could have changed the election (02/05)
• Another dynamite election fraud article: today’s Washington Spectator – Fly by night (Fri Apr-15-05)
• The Silent Scream of Numbers — Robert Koehler’s “Nash-ional” column – Fly by night (Wed Apr-13-05)
• NEW KOEHLER COLUMN: CITIZENS IN THE RAIN – Wiley50 (Wed May-04-05)
• FEAR OF RIFFRAFF By Robert C. Koehler (Thu Jun-09-05)
• Gatekeepers: Why even (phony) “left” media silent on stolen election. by Amaryllis (Sun May-08-05)
• Guest Viewpoint: Help stop irregularities in voting – By Carol McBrian (May 31, 2005)
• What’s the Matter With Ohio? By PAUL KRUGMAN – NYT (June 17, 2005)
• Harper’s Forum – What Went Wrong in Ohio (Monday, July 25, 2005)
• Why the Democrats Will Keep Losing – By Steven Hill, Mother Jones Magazine (June 10, 2005)
• Corporate Media & Voting Systems Ownership: Follow the Money – Amaryllis (Mon Aug-01-05)
• What They Did Last Fall by PAUL KRUGMAN (August 19, 2005)
• Don’t Prettify Our History By Paul Krugman (Monday 22 August 2005)
• 2004 Election Ranked #3 on List of Stories Ignored by Mainstream Media – Winter Patriot on the BradBlog (9/22/2005)
• Ballot and Soul : Democracy needs a revolution every generation By ROBERT C. KOEHLER (October 6, 2005)
• Michael Shnayerson, Vanity Fair: The Election 4/04 – AtLiberty on DU (Wed Oct-12-05)
• What does Judy Miller have to do with Bush’s reelection? MelissaB on DU (Sat Oct-29-05)
• A Crime Without a Name By ROBERT C. KOEHLER (November 10, 2005)
• (Brad Friedman) MSM to American Democracy: Drop Dead – MelissaB on DU (Fri Nov-04-05)
• Election theft Makes “top ten” stories ignored by media in 2005 – kster on DU (Thu Dec-01-05)
• Mark Crispin Miller: Why Won’t The Media Touch My Book? – althecat (Jan-25-06)
• Internet conspiracy theorists, take a bow. The Great WahPoo Acknowledges U – wilms (Jan-24-06)
• Goodbye Terry Gross, we never knew ye—on liberal media denial – MelissaB (Jan-23-06)
• AP picks up Sancho story today ! This is MSM reporting, guys! Don’t faint. – Amaryllis (Mar-05-06)
• Florida newspaper finds thousands of mysterious entries in voter database – seafan (Mar-07-06)
• High-tech voting hits snags – Chicago Tribune (March 21, 2006)
• WaPo: “How to steal an election” (Steve Freeman) Is MSM getting it? – Amaryllis (Mar-28-06)
• Election Whistle-Blower Stymied by Vendors (From the Washington Post!) – MelissaB (Mar-28-06)
• USA TODAY Front Page Report is a Big Step – Senator (Mar-28-06)

• How to Hack the Vote: the Short Version (it’s really THAT easy)
• The Case of the Diebold FTP Site – A nice summary of Diebold software flaws
• Nearly all of Diebold’s Board and it’s officers donated to Repubs
• seeVote – a better e-voting system?
• Republican White Hat Hacker Disses Diebold Big Time – Kos
• Election Worker Refuses to Lie for Voting Software Company
• “Bay Point Schools, Cal Tech, and the CyberNET connection.”
• Electronic Voting: The Stolen Election of 2004
• Hot!! Jeb Bush>Jeff Fisher>Straight School>FBI Cybernet bust.
• E-voting Security by Avi Rubin
• Confessions of a Republican hacker ChuckHerrin.com (11/21)
• Voting Machines Gone Wild! by Mark Lewellen-Biddle (12/11/03)
• E-voting rollout is slow going By William Welsh (10/25)
• Where There’s Smoke, There’s Fire – Electronic Voting and the Legitimacy of the 2004 Presidential election -DU (11/30
• Voting machine test results ‘off-limits’ to the public (12/5)
• Sum of a Glitch – Evidence shows that machines might be the real swing voters this November (August ’04)
• How to hack an electronic voting machine….. from VTGold on DU (12/8)
• Sham Recount Process on Diebold E-voting Machines from AmerDem on DU (1/24/05)
• E-Voting to be Gone Sooner Than you Think by Land Shark (2/12/05)
• The Diebold dilemma – Toldedo Blade (9/03/03)
• Follow the money, find the truth: More voting machine company connections by Amaryllis (2/05/05)
• Largest investors in electronic voting are defense contractors?!? from AtLiberty on DU (3/15/05)
• Means, Motive, Opportunity – BBV EXPOSED! – tommcintyre (Tue Apr-12-05)
• Voting Machines Violate Constitution – Amaryllis (Thu Apr-28-05)
• Remote Hack of Diebold Systems Analysis – RedEagle (Thu May-05-05)
• Electronic vote switching: EIRS analysis shows 12:1 ratio of K/E to B/C by Time for change (Fri May-20-05)
• Nirvana! Automated Voting Fraud! by Filius Nullius (Sun May-08-05)
• Cynthia McKinney on the Diebold Hack…as Diebold Flips Out… – BradBlog (6/29/2005)
• A Brief History of Computerized Election Fraud in America (Truthout) (Sat Jun-25-05)
• Diebold $10,000 (legal?)bribe of GOP Franklin County(Ohio) BOE uncovered – farmbo (Sat Jul-16-05)
• Scanners are not simple calculators! – mirrera (Sat Aug-06-05)
• EXACTLY WHAT YOU DON’T WANT: YOUR ELECTIONS ON DIEBOLD’S SERVER – helderheid (Tue Aug-09-05)
• $7.5M Awarded to Study Electronic Voting at Johns Hopkins Univ: -cyberpj (Tue Aug-16-05)
• DIVERSE LOCATIONS SWITCHED KERRY TOUCHSCREEN VOTES TO BUSH – TruthIsAll (Thu Aug-11-05)
• More Trouble for Diebold, This Time in Georgia… – Brad Friedman (9/27/2005)
• Diebold’s Tough Luck, VR’s Promise, and a New Ad for America from the Velvet Revolution… – BradBlog (9/23/2005)
• DIEB-THROAT Weighs in on Diebold’s Stunning 15.5% Wednesday Stock Plunge – BradBlog (9/22/2005)
• DIEB-THROAT : ‘Diebold System One of Greatest Threats Democracy Has Ever Known’ – BradBlog (9/15/2005)
• A Quick-ish DIEB-THROAT Follow-up… – BradBlog (9/18/2005)
• Clint Curtis Rebuilds Prototype!! This must get out!! – by KerryReallyWon on DU (Wed Sep-07-05)
• EAC has interpreted HAVA to require paper records for recounts! – Bill Bored on DU (Sat Sep-17-05)
• Paper trails are NOT the answer – Mark Crispin Miller (9/20/2005)
• A MUST READ — Bob Fleischer: Software IS a Problem – AtLiberty on DU (Fri Sep-23-05)
• Panel: E-voting vulnerable By Anne Broache, CNET News.com (10-07-05)
• Touchscreen Voting Increases Annual Election Costs by 40% (Mon Oct-10-05)
• GAO REPORT CONFIRMS CONCERNS ABOUT SECURITY OF ELECTRONIC VOTING MACHINES! – BradBlog (10/20/2005)
• With Diebold,you tweak to ‘get the reports you need’ – Algorem on DU (Fri Nov-11-05)
• MSM locally Quotes voter: Sequoia E-voting makes us “another Florida” – Land Shark on DU (Fri Nov-11-05)
• RawStory: Diebold insider alleges company plagued by technical woes… wilms on DU (12-07-05)
• Bradblog: Potential securities fraud class action lawsuit against Diebold – amarylis on DU (12-07-05)
• Wally O’Dell, Diebold CEO, resigns! – garybeck on DU (12-15-05)
• Best website I’ve ever seen on voting system company sleaziness… – amaryllis on DU (12-13-05)
• Voting system said to fail – kster on DU (Dec-16-05)
• Who’s counting the votes ? – kster on DU (Dec-17-05)
• HuffPo – Avi Rubin: The Dirty Little Secrets of Voting System Testing Labs – Wilms on DU (Dec-17-05)
• The Harri Hursti Hack And Its Importance To Our Nation – AtLiberty (Feb-09-06)
• (Lynn Landes) Voting Systems Lawsuit Reaches U.S. Supreme Court – Wilms (Feb-07-06)
• “I Saw it Hacked”….Eye witness to election fraud – autorank (Jan-25-06)
• BradBlog >> EXCLUSIVE: SECURITIES FRAUD LITIGATION FILED AGAINST DIEBOLD, – sabra (Dec-16-05)
• Diebold Reserves Right to “Manipulate the Data” Before Releasing it! – Amaryllis (Feb-10-06)
• Pressure on Diebold and the Stolen 04 Election on Daily Kos – mod mom (Feb-13-06)
• Now the Onus is on Counties and Diebold to Risk Multi-Million $ Lawsuits – Wilms (Feb-20-06)
• Designed for “Failure”? Discovery of Diebold’s Bugs & Cryptographic Key – nicknameless (Feb-24-06)
• Diebold Whistleblower Facing Three Felony Counts – freedomfries (Feb-27-06)
• BRADBLOG: AZ Election Official’s Diebold Tirade Caught on Tape – mod mom (Feb-27-06)
• DIEBOLD – 2008 “The fix is in” – Moscow Times – kster (Mar-04-06)
• “Why do Diebold’s Touch-Screen Voting Machines Have Built-In Wireless Infrared Data Transfer Ports?” – BradBlog (2/22/06)
• Hart InterCivic Whistleblower Warned of Texas, Ohio E-Voting ‘Fraud’ Concerns in 2004! – BradBlog (3/13/2006)
• Star-Telegram front page: computer “glitch” — election – antigop (Mar-09-06
• Diebold ExpressPoll 4000 – MGKrebs (Mar-11-06)
• Brad Blog: Wingnuts Concerned Re E-Voting- Hugo Chavez May Own Sequoia – Humor_In_Cuneiform (Apr-02-06)

• The Election Model – by TruthIsAll (probably what REALLY happened on Nov.2nd)
• Electoral College Meta-Analysis (election.princeton.edu) (very, very good!)
• Again History Is Made On DU – EXIT POLL THEORY Bounces Back
• A Must Read ** Breakthrough ** – EXIT POLL ANALYSIS FOR 47 STATES
• GOP Wants to End Exit Polls – Gee, I wonder why?
• “… exit polls were adjusted to reflect official vote tallies.”?
• Exit Polls Right, Tallies Wrong?
• Exit Polls vs. Reported Results
• Footprints of Electoral Fraud: The November 2 Exit Poll Scam – by Michael Keefer
• Cal Tech exit polls (corrupted) & Freeman-U of Pa exit polls (uncorrupted)
• Complete US Exit Poll Data Confirms Net Suspicions:Full 51 State Early Exit Poll Data
• THIS IS THE TRUE FRAUD-FREE ELECTION RESULT
• Exit Polls MATCHED Pre-Election polls within 1/7th of ONE percent
• 8.1 million Gore voters didn’t bother voting this month
• News Groups Will Delay Future Exit Polls (…to buy more time to alter them?)
• US Election: Democracy in Question – John Zogby, Ralph Nader
• National Election Pool is a secret consortium with intelligence ties
• Mirror of Zogby’s 5pm Election Day Prediction submitted by Jesse Stewart (11/21)
• New analysis of Ohio exit polls. – TennisGuy2004 on DU (11/22)
• Errors in exit polls still a puzzle to many John Allen Paulos (11/24)
• Bush-Cheney Campaign Headquarters: What They Don’t Want You To Know by Wayne Madsen (7/27/04)
• Pre-election State Polls vs. Exit Polls vs. Actuals: ONE Graph. Look Close by TruthIsAll (11/24)
• ONE OUT OF 4.5 BILLION! by TruthIsAll (11/25)
• How could exit polls have been so wrong? by Eric Fried (11/26)
• An Ongoing E-mail Arguement with Mitofsky by truehawk on DU (11/26)
• The exit polls WERE adjusted to the election results from John Helge on DU (11/28)
• Final Tallies Minus Exit Polls = A Statistical Mystery! by John Allen Paulos (11/24)
• 15 QUESTIONS FOR THOSE WHO WOULD DISPARAGE EXIT POLLING. by TruthIsAll on DU (11/28)
• Why is it that exit polls since 1988 have ALL overstated the Dem vote? from TruthIsAll on DU (12/5) Analysis Reveals Dramatic Evidence of Election Tampering By Webb Mealy, PhD (12/5)
• THE PROBABILITY IS ZERO from TruthIsAll (12/5)
• Pre-election advice on Exit Polls from Edison Media !!! from k8conant on DU (12/5)
• Electoral-vote.com’s map based on exit polls from latteromden on DU (12/7)
• Edison – Mitofsky Exit Polls Method Statment and the questionnaire (.pdf) used from sabra on DU (12/8)
• Zogby Polling Seeks Damage Control After Election Day Flub from sabra on DU (12/9)
• Zogby Defense: ‘My Polling Was Very, Very Good’ from blitzburgh55 on DU (12/12)
• WTF!? Exit Polls Were Correct for Other Races from BlueDog2u on DU (12/12)
• Eliminating Exit Polls … a new strategy? from sunnystarr on DU (12/12)
• Kerry: Exit polls (50.6%/311EV) MATCHED pre-election polls (50.52%/322EV) from TruthIsAll on DU (12/12)
• IT’S GRAPHIC: KERRY VOTE TALLIES VS. EXIT POLLS from TruthIsAll on DU (12/14)
• SMOKING GUN? 2000 EXIT POLLS ACCURATE TO WITHIN 0.17%. STRAWMAN DOWN! from TruthIsAll on DU (12/24)
• TV Networks Officially Refuse to Release Exit Poll Raw Data by Gary Beckwith (12/24)
• THE SMOKING GRAPH: GORE (tight) VS. KERRY (wide) EXIT POLL DEVIATIONS from TruthIsAll on DU (12/24)
• THE NATIONAL VOTE/EXIT POLL TIMELINE AND THE OHIO/FLORIDA EXIT POLL DISCREPANCIES. from TruthIsAll on DU (12/26)
• CONFIRMING DR. BAIMAN: THE NATIONAL EXIT POLL SAMPLE PROBABILITIES from TruthIsAll on DU (12/26)
• ExitPollz.org (12/30)
• SMOKING GUN? THE CNN NATIONAL EXIT POLL SITE PROVES THAT KERRY WON! from TruthIsAll on DU (12/30)
• Mitofsky 4 Zone Data (individual .pdfs)
• Mitofsky 4 Zone Data (all .pdfs zipped)
• National Election Poll: Analysis of Voter Demographics from TruthIsAll on DU (1/25/05)
• Freeman disputes critique of his analysis of exit poll discrepancy from Amaryllis on DU (1/25/05)
• Coincidence?100% paper-ballot OR is MOST accurate (within 0.40%) Exit Poll from TruthIsAll on DU (1/24/05)
• GRAPH: Exit Poll Deviations Weighted by State Voting Method Mix from TruthIsAl on DU (1/20/05)
• Mitofsky on Nightline:”26 of 30 deviations to Bush” Wrong. It was 30 of 30 from TruthIsAll onDU (1/25/05)
• Exit pollsters to release election report to media (but not to public) from dzika on DU (1/20/05)
• THREE PROBABILITIES from TruthIsAll on DU (1/25/05)
• THE 2000 STATE EXIT POLLS WERE ALMOST PERFECT from TruthIsAll on DU (1/25/05)
• I HAVE JUST UPDATED THE EXIT POLL ANALYSIS: THE RESULTS ARE ASTOUNDING. from TruthIsAll on DU (1/15/05)
• Bush’s win was a historical anomaly– is this evidence of fraud? from spooked911 on DU (1/25/05)
• 1/23 UPDATE: NATIONAL EXIT POLL DEMOGRAPHIC STATISTICS from TruthIsAll on DU (1/23/05)
• Mitofsky’s background and an outrageous endorsement! from RaulVB on DU (1/26/05)
• Despite what you may have heard, the exit polls were right By Steve Freeman and Josh Mitteldorf (2/15/05)
• BLOWN TO SMITHEREENS: MITOFSKY’S “RELUCTANT BUSH RESPONDER” THEORY by TruthIsAll (2/12/05)
• THE MOST DEVASTATING STATISTIC OF ALL: 17% OF THE VOTERS WERE NEW by TruthIsAll (2/10/05) Response to Tokaji Critique of USCV Edison/Mitofsky Exit Poll Discrepancies – uscountvotes.org (2/04/05)
• Naysayers, its time to take your strawmen elsewhere. 9 phd’s call for election investigation! (2/15/05)
• THE BARE TRUTH WHICH SHOULD HAVE FLIPPED OUT THE DEMOCRATS BY NOW. – TruthIsAll (1/29/05)
• ULTIMATE PROOF KERRY WON: COMPARE THE NATIONAL EXIT POLLS -1996,2000,2004 from TruthIsAll on DU (2/20/05)
• FASTEN SEAT BELTS. THIS IS THE CLINCHER. from TruthIsAll on DU (03/28/05)
• THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO: KERRY WON BY 7 MILLION VOTES from TruthIsAll on DU (3/28/05)
• Exit Poll Deviations vs. Governor’s Party and Straight Party Voting Option from Bill Bored on DU (3/22/05)
• 100% ABSOLUTE PROOF: FINAL NEP OVERSTATED BUSH VOTE BY AT LEAST 2 MIL. from TruthIsAll on DU (03/21/05)
• A TIA MEA CULPA: THE “SIMPLE” NEP EXPLANATION IS WRONG… from TruthIsAll on DU (2/30/05)
• The Exit Polls were heavily biased against Kerry- here’s why. from BernieW1 on DU (3/09/05)
• UPDATED: MY COLLECTION OF EXIT POLL THREADS from TruthIsAll (3/13/05)
• IF THIS PRELIMINARY NEP WEIGHT WAS CORRECT, WHY WAS IT CHANGED? from TruthIsAll (3/13/05) A Mathematical proof: Exit polls are accurate from TruthIsAll (3/10/05)
• The Nat Exit Poll Crime Line: 7:58pm(K) to 12:22am (K) to 2:04pm (B) from TruthIsAll (3/10/05)
• Kerry won Nat. Exit Poll (11027 respondents) posted on CNN @ 7:58PM from TruthIsAll (3/06/05)
• Exit Poll Electoral Map – is this right? from garybeck (2/23/05)
• NATIONAL EXIT POLL: PRELIMINARY TO FINAL – WHAT HAPPENED? from TruthIsAll (2/26/05)
• 2002 Senate Election Fraud Probability Analysis: re-written for clarity from TruthIsAll (Sat Jul-26-03)
• THE 13047 NATIONAL EXIT POLL CONFIRMS THE STATE EXIT POLLS (WITHIN .06%) ! – TruthIsAll (Sun Apr-24-05)
• Truth: 0 to 13,047; Fiction: 13,048 – 13,660 – TruthIsAll (Tue Apr-19-05)
• U.S. General Election Poll-7:37pm,11/02/04: “Estimates NOT for on-air use” – TruthIsAll (Mon Apr-18-05)
• Bush Exit Poll Job Approval: A smoking gun? – TruthIsAll (Mon Apr-18-05)
• This Jan 3 post on the IMPOSSIBLE Bush 43%/37% NEP weight is NOT from me! – TruthIsAll (Sun Apr-17-05)
• National Exit Poll Analysis: Using FACTUAL Historic Data – TruthIsAll (Mon Apr-11-05)
• ELECTION 2004: THE COMPLETE GRAPHICAL REFERENCE – TruthIsAll (Sun Apr-03-05)
• Collective Bellaciao, France: Science proves that vote fraud is real! – MelissaB (Sun Apr-03-05)
• From Selection 2000 to 2004 (NEP): Voted, Died, Reborn, Did Not Vote – TruthIsAll (Fri Apr-01-05)
• The Nat Exit Poll Crime Line: 7:58pm(K) to 12:22am (K) to 2:04pm (B) – TruthIsAll (Mon Mar-07-05)
• Kerry won Nat. Exit Poll (11027 respondents) posted on CNN @ 7:58PM – TruthIsAll (Sun Mar-06-05)
• The Oregon Smoking Gun – TruthIsAll (Fri Mar-04-05)
• HOW KERRY WON OHIO BY 51-48%… – TruthIsAll (Fri Apr-29-05)
• A PUZZLE FOR DUERS: THE NATIONAL VS. STATE GENDER DEMOGRAPHIC MATCH-UP – TruthIsAll (Sat Apr-30-05)
• Kathy Dopp’s Most Recent Post Concerning Lizzie Liddel’s Criticism of USCV – davidgmills (Sun May-01-05)
• The Reluctant Gore Responder (RGR) -TruthIsAll (Sun May-01-05)
• THESE NUMBERS TELL THE WHOLE STORY – TruthIsAll (Fri May-06-05)
• 1988-2000 Exit Poll Deviation trend was moving to ZERO – until 2004 – TruthIsAll (Thu May-05-05)
• LET’S MOE DOWN THE LAST FEW NAYSAYERS ONCE AND FOR ALL – TruthIsAll (Wed May-04-05)
• IS rBr STILL BREATHING? THE REQUIRED BUSH % OF REFUSERS IS IMPOSSIBLE! TruthIsAll Sat (May-21-05)
• Mitofsky invented reluctant Bush responder scam for Bush Sr. in ’92! tommcintyre (Sat May-21-05)
• STATE / NATIONAL EXIT POLL ANALYSIS BY REGION by TruthIsAll (Sun Apr-24-05)
• I can’t believe this sh*t from Mitofsky…again. by MelissaB (Sat May-14-05)
• NON-RESPONSE BIAS? HERE’S WHY IT HURT KERRY MORE THAN BUSH.. by TruthIsAll (Sat May-14-05)
• PROBABILITY ANALYSIS PROVES: THE RBR HYPOTHESIS IS VIRTUALLY IMPOSSIBLE! by TruthIsAll (Sat May-14-05)
• RBR and Rove by Carolab (Tue May-10-05)
• BYE, BYE rBr: IMPLAUSIBLE VOTER TURNOUT SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS by TruthIsAll (Mon May-09-05)
• IT COMES DOWN TO THIS: WHERE DID BUSH FIND 13 MILLION NEW VOTES? KISS… by TruthIsAll (Tue May-10-05)
• Even assuming rBr, it takes a MIRACLE to reverse Kerry’s 51-48% margin by TruthIsAll (Sat May-07-05)
• Yes, the Reluctant Republican Responder (3%) was a KERRY voter! by TruthIsAll (Fri May-06-05)
• The UK and Ukraine have very accurate exit polls…interesting. (Fri May-06-05)
• Reluctant Republican Respondents….who voted for Kerry by davidgmills (Fri May-06-05)
• A non-statistician’s view of the E-M exit poll controversy – Time for change (Sun May-22-05)
• CNN changed their Exit poll numbers – chrisclub (Thu Jun-02-05)
• EXIT POLL QUESTION: Party IDs vs. MOEs – Bill Bored (Fri Jun-17-05)
• 15% OF GORE VOTERS (7.65 MM) SUFFERED FROM ALZHEIMER’S IN 2004 – TruthIsAll (Mon Jun-27-05)
• ELECTION 2004 BY THE NUMBERS – TruthIsAll (Tue Jun-28-05)
• Ohio Exit Poll Raw Data – minvis (Fri Feb-18-05)
• It’s a shutout: FRAUD 3 , rBr 0 – TruthIsAll (Tue Jul-05-05)
• Exit poll vs. current Bush Approval – chrisclub (Wed Jul-06-05)
• EXIT POLL RESPONSE OPTIMIZER: KEY RESULTS – TruthIsAll (Sat Jul-09-05)
• EXIT POLL ANALYSIS THREADS – 7/12/05 UPDATE -TruthIsAll
• EXIT POLL ANALYSIS – ESSENTIAL DU THREADS – TruthIsAll (Thu Jul-14-05)
• Here’s where the “hypothesis” is refuted again… – LightningFlash (Sat Jul-02-05)
• To believe Bush won, you must believe this. – TruthIsAll (Sun Jun-26-05)
• Bushco stopped stealing votes after they had it in the bag. – TruthIsAll (Sat Jul-30-05)
• Exit Polls show Shrub not winning 1994 Gov race.. Any DU Scoop? – Melissa G (Mon Aug-08-05)
• RETURN OF THE CLINCHER: Kerry wins 120 of 120 scenarios – TruthIsAll (Tue Jun-21-05)
• To Believe that Bush won….. – TruthIsAll (Fri May-13-05)
• Dear Dr. Dean: – TruthIsAll (Wed Jun-29-05)
• Freeman vs Mitofsky debate! – Melissa G on DU (Mon Sep-26-05)
• Time Line of Exit Poll Irregularities Election 2004: Dopp and Freeman – Stevepol on DU (Sat Oct-22-05)
• Steve Freeman Summary of Debate – Melissa G on DU (Thu Oct-20-05)
• New Math PROOF that ESI/Mitofsky Logic is Invalid (Not Correct) – sunshinekathy on DU (Sat Oct-29-05)
• 1.1 for Elections. TIA, Even “Plainer” English. Law of Large Numbers,etc – autorank on DU (Dec-17-05)
• Exit polls 2004 discrepancies made quick & EASY for the math impaired ! – Amaryllis (Mar-08-06)

Corporate America controls the media and we get manufactured news.

Corporate America now controls the voting machines and we get manufactured elections.

“Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, committed citizens can change the world. Indeed, it is the only thing that ever has. ”

– Margaret Mead – US anthropologist & popularizer of anthropology (1901 – 1978)

READ THIS FIRST

• Election Fraud Beginner’s Guide
• What’s Wrong with the News?
• Learn How the Broadcast News Media Deceives You!
• The 14 Characteristics of Fascism – flash video
• AmericanFascism.com
• Seventeen Techniques for Truth Suppression
• Media manipulation – From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

January 24, 2005
By Ernest Partridge, The Crisis Papers

Like biologists with evolution and atmospheric scientists with global climate change, those who warn us that our elections have been stolen and will be stolen again must now be wondering, "just how much evidence must it take to make our case and to convince enough of the public to force reform and secure our ballots?"

The answer, apparently, is no amount – no amount, that is, until more minds are opened. And that is more than a question of evidence, it is a question of collective sanity.

In his new book Fooled Again, Mark Crispin Miller not only presents abundant evidence that the 2004 election was stolen, but in addition he examines the political, social, and media environment which made this theft possible.

When I first read the book immediately after its publication, I confess that I was a bit disappointed. What I had hoped to find was a compendium of evidence, from front to back. To be sure, Miller gives us plenty of evidence, meticulously documented. But evidence tells us that the election was stolen. Miller goes beyond that to explain how and why it was stolen, and how the culprits have managed, so far, to get away with it.

So on second reading, I find that it was my expectation and not Miller’s book that was flawed. We have evidence aplenty, to be found in John Conyers’ report, and the new book by Bob Fitrakis and Harvey Wasserman, in addition to the Black Box Voting website among numerous others. Soon to be added is Prof. Steven Freeman’s book on the statistical evidence of election fraud. What we don’t gain from these sources is an understanding and appreciation of the context in which this crime was committed. This we learn from reading Miller’s book.

If, in fact, the last two presidential elections have been stolen, and if in addition there is a preponderance of evidence to support this claim, then this is the most significant political news in the 230 year history of our republic.

So what is the response of the allegedly "opposing" party to the issue of election fraud? Virtual silence. And of the news media? More silence. Case in point: the media response to Mark Crispin Miller’s Fooled Again. As he reports: "There have been no national reviews of Fooled Again. No network or cable TV show would have the author on to talk about the book. NPR has refused to have him on… Only one daily newspaper – the Florida Sun-Sentinel – has published a review."

Force the question of election fraud and demand an answer, and the most likely response will be a string of ad hominem insults – "sore losers," "paranoid," "conspiracy theorists" – attacks on the messenger and a dismissal of the message. We’ve heard them, many times over.

Persist, and you might get as a reply, not evidence that the elections were honest and valid (there is very little of that), but rather some rhetorical questions as to the attitudes and motives of the alleged perpetrators and to the practical difficulties of their successfully accomplishing a stolen national election. Questions such as these:

• How could the GOP campaign managers believe that they could get away with a stolen election?
• Why would they dare risk failure, and the subsequent criminal indictments and dissolution of their party?
• What could possibly motivate them to subvert the foundations of our democracy?

The answer to the first two questions is essentially the same: they believed and they dared because they controlled the media and thus the message. Miller’s sub-text throughout his book is that the great electoral hijack has been accomplished with the cooperation, one might even say the connivance, of the mainstream media, without which the crime could never have succeeded.

Immediately following the election, the critics were shouted down with such headlines as these: "Election paranoia surfaces; Conspiracy theorists call results rigged" (Baltimore Sun), "Internet Buzz on Vote Fraud is dismissed" (Boston Globe), "Latest Conspiracy Theory – Kerry Won – Hits the Ether" (Washington Post), and in the "flagship" newspaper, the New York Times: "Vote Fraud Theories, Spread by Blogs, Are Quickly Buried." (Miller, 38.)

Even more damaging than the slanted "reports" in the media, was the silence. The Conyers investigations? Ignored. The scholarly statistical analyses of exit poll discrepancies? Ignored. Evidence that Bush cheated in the debates with a listening device? Dismissed. The recent GAO report on e-voting vulnerabilities, and the Florida demonstration hacking of computer vote compilation? Ignored. And most appalling of all: the media blackout last week of Al Gore’s eloquent speech, warning of the threat to our Constitution and our liberties posed by the Bush regime.

And all this merely scratches the surface of media malpractice. For more, read the book.

The motivation to steal the election, says Miller, combined religious (or quasi-religious) dogma and self-righteousness and a perception of the opposing Democratic party, not as the loyal opposition, but as the enemy – deserving not defeat, but annihilation. ("You are either with us or against us," says Bush). Together, this adds up to what Miller calls "The Requisite Fanaticism." He writes:

It is not "conservatism" that impelled the theft of the election, nor was it merely greed or the desire for power per se… The movement now in power is not entirely explicable in such familiar terms… The project here is ultimately pathological and essentially anti-political, albeit Machiavellian on a scale, and to a degree, that would have staggered Machiavelli. The aim is not to master politics, but to annihilate it. Bush, Rove, DeLay, Ralph Reed, et al. believe in "politics" in the same way that they and their corporate beneficiaries believe in "competition." In both cases, the intention is not to play the game but to end it – because the game requires some tolerance of the Other, and tolerance is precisely what these bitter-enders most despise… (Miller 81-2.)

Reiterating a theme that is prominent in his writing, Miller points out that the psychological pathology most conspicuously at work in the right’s demolition of politics is projection: the attribution in "the enemy" of one’s own moral depravity:

The Bushevik, so full of hate, hates politics, and would get rid of it; and yet he is himself expert at dirty politics: an expertise that he regards as purely imitative and defensive. Because his enemies, he thinks, are all "political" – dishonest, ruthless, cynical, unprincipled – he is thereby "forced" to be "political" as well, in order to "fight fire with fire." As we have seen, this paranoid conviction of the Other’s perfidy suffuses and impels the propaganda campaigns of the right, and it was especially important in Bush/Cheney’s drive to steal the last election. Indeed it was their firm conviction that they had to steal the race, in order to frustrate the Democrats’ attempt to do it first. (Miller, 82.)

This is just a brief sampling of Miller’s astute political and psychological analysis of the "why" and the "how" of the stolen elections of 2000, 2002 and 2004. That analysis, which takes up about a third of the book (Chapters 3 and 4), adds an invaluable dimension to our understanding of the political disaster that has befallen our Republic, and that analysis suggests guidelines in the struggle to avoid the theft of the upcoming elections of 2006 and 2008.

I have written at length about what might be done if we are to restore the ballot box to the voters. These crucial steps come immediately to mind, as I read Miller’s Fooled Again.

Briefly, we need a media, we need an opposition party, we need an aroused public, and we need a miracle. But take heart: history tells us that political crises have a way of producing miracles.

The mainstream media (MSM) must be discredited and an alternative media established in its place. The internet offers a voice to an opposition that is excluded from the mainstream, and a few independent publications and broadcasts remain, however feeble in comparison to the MSM. If a sizeable portion of the public deserts the mainstream, and directly informs the publishers and broadcasters why they are doing so, the media, and particularly their sponsors and advertisers, will take notice. Recently, some of the media have become more critical of the Bush regime and the GOP Congress, but it is, by and large, too little and too late.

So either the commercial media must resume the role of watchdog of government power, as intended by Jefferson and Madison, or it must be made irrelevant. The Russian dissidents late in the Soviet era have given us an example: if you have no media, create one, even if it is suppressed by the government. It was called "Samizdat" – a painstaking process of typing several carbon copies of forbidden manuscripts on condition that the recipients would do likewise. Similarly, the Iranian dissidents during the reign of the Shah copied and distributed audio tapes of revolutionary speeches. In the computer age, there are huge advantages: Internet publication and, f the Internet is taken from us, CDs and minidiscs. For now, the Internet is our Samizdat.

The Democratic party is the only potentially effective opposition party in sight. But at the moment, it is a toothless tiger. We must tell that party that it must either lead the struggle to restore electoral integrity or step aside. When the Clintons, Cantwells, Liebermans and Feinsteins run for re-election, they must be opposed in the primaries by authentic progressives. Even if those progressives lose, but with a creditable showing, the "establishment" Democrats will nonetheless get the message. Next time you get a solicitation notice from the DNC or the Senate or Congressional Campaign Committees, tell them "no dice" unless they deal with the election fraud issue. Then tell them that instead of a contribution, you are purchasing Miller’s book and donating it to the local library.

As for the public, remember that more than half the public is awake, aware, and opposed to the Bush regime. Of these, a small but significant minority is convinced that election fraud is a serious problem. But that dissenting public lacks a voice, cohesion and leadership. This is a recipe for potentially sudden change: like fuel and oxygen, lacking the third necessity – heat of ignition. A message, from a Tom Paine or a Jefferson, or leadership from a Washington, a Gandhi, a Mandela or a Sakharov, can ignite the fire that will consume this evil regime. Or not. That depends on whether concerned citizens sit by and wait for others to act, or instead take some initiative and join the struggle – writing to Congress, talking to any and all associates that will listen and perhaps a few that won’t, contributing to alternative media, copying and distributing dissenting essays, and generally raising hell.

And finally, miracles: they are, by nature, unpredictable. Some possibilities: A few corporate and financial elites will finally come to realize that where Bush is leading, they don’t want to follow, and they will join the opposition. (There are a few intimations of this already). Similarly, perhaps a few journalists, and even some Republicans, will finally if belatedly decide that they would prefer not to live in a dictatorship. Bushenomics is bound to lead to an economic collapse that is certain to wake up the public. And even now, some state Attorney General or some District Attorney may be preparing an indictment for election fraud against an e-vote company executive that could break this conspiracy wide open.

But don’t wait for miracles to happen – make them happen.

If we are to take back our country, we must first take back our vote. Mark Crispin Miller’s book will tell you what has happened, how and why it has happened, and what must be done about it.

Will we, the people, take up the challenge? On that question rests the fate of our republic, of our liberties, and of "our lives, our fortunes, and our sacred honor."

Dr. Ernest Partridge is a consultant, writer and lecturer in the field of Environmental Ethics and Public Policy. He publishes the website, The Online Gadfly and co-edits the progressive website, The Crisis Papers. He is at work on a book, Conscience of a Progressive, which can be seen in-progress here. Send comments to: crisispapers@hotmail.com.

TruthIsAll

WHO SHOULD READ THIS?

It’s for everyone who voted in 2004 or plans to vote in 2006.

It’s for those who say: "Math was my worst subject in high school".
If you’ve ever placed a bet at the casino or race track,
or played the lottery, you already know the basics.
It’s about probability.
It’s about common sense.
It’s not all that complicated.

It’s for individuals who have taken algebra, probability and
statistics and want to see how they apply to election polling.

It’s for graduates with degrees in mathematics, political science,
an MBA, etc. who may or may not be familiar with simulation concepts.

It’s for Excel spreadsheet users who enjoy creating math models.
Simulation is a powerful tool for analyzing uncertainty.
Like coin flipping and election polling.

It’s for writers, blogs and politicians who seek the truth:
Robert Koehler, Brad from BradBlog, John Conyers, Barbara Boxer,
Mark Miller, Fitrakis, Wasserman, USCV, Dopp, Freeman, Baiman, Simon,
Scoop’s althecat, Krugman, Keith Olberman, Mike Malloy, Randi Rhodes,
Stephanie Miller, etc.

It’s for Netizens who frequent Discussion Forums.

It’s for those in the Media who are still waiting for editor approval
to discuss documented incidents of vote spoilage, vote switching and
vote suppression in recent elections and which are confirmed by
impossible pre-election and exit poll deviations from the recorded vote.

It’s for naysayers who promote faith-based hypotheticals in their
unrelenting attempts to debunk the accuracy of the pre-election
and exit polls.

People forget Selection 2000. Gore won the popular vote by 540,000.
But Bush won the election by a single vote.
SCOTUS voted along party lines: Bush 5, Gore 4.
That stopped the Florida recount in its tracks.
Gore won Florida. Why did they do it?
And why did the "liberal" media say he lost?

But Gore voters did not forget 2000.
So in 2004, they came out to vote in droves.
Yet the naysayers claim Gore voters forgot that they voted for him
and told the exit pollsters that they voted for Bush in 2000.
It’s the famous "false recall" hypothetical.
The naysayers were forced to use it when they could not come up
with a plausible explanation for the impossible weightings of
Bush and Gore voter turnout in the Final National Exit poll.

Put on the defoggers.
We had enough disinformation
We had enough obfuscation.
Now we will let the sunshine in.

This is a review of the basics.

________________________________________________________________________

A COIN-FLIP EXPERIMENT

Consider an experiment:
Flip a fair coin 10 times.
Calculate the percentage of heads.
Write it down.

Increase it to 30.
Calculate the new total percentage.
Write it down.

Keep increasing the number of flips…
Write down the percentage for 50.
Then do it for 80.
Stop at 100.
That’s our final coin flip sample-size.

When you’re all done, check the percentages.
Is the sequence converging to 50%?
That’s the true population mean (average).

That’s the Law of Large Numbers.

The coin-flip is easily simulated in Excel.
Likewise, in the polling simulations which follow,
we will analyze the result of polling experiments
over a range of trials (sample size).

_____________________________________________________

THE POLLING CONTROVERSY

Naysayers have a problem with polls.
Especially when a Bush is running.
Regardless of how many polls or how large the samples,
the results are never good enough for them.
They prefer to cite their two famous, unproven hypotheticals:
Bush non-responders (rBr) and Gore voter memory lapse ("false recall").

How do pollsters handle non-responders?
Simple.
They just… increase the sample-size!
Furthermore, statistical studies indicate that there is no
discernible correlation between non-response rates and survey results

How do pollster’s handle false recall?
Simple.
They know that in a large sample, forgetfullness on the part
of Gore and Bush voters… will cancel each other out!
There’s no evidence that Gore voters forget any more than Bush voters.
On the contrary.
If someone you knew robbed you in broad daylight,
would you forget who it was four years later?
Gore was robbed in 2000.

They claim that polling bias favored Kerry
in BOTH the pre-election AND exit polls.
They offer no evidence to back up these claims.
In fact, National Exit Poll data shows a pro-Bush bias.

They maintain that the polls are not random-samples.
Especially when Bush is involved.

_____________________________________________________

THE MARGIN OF ERROR (MOE)

Naysayers ignore the fact that each poll has a Margin of Error (MoE).
Are we to ignore the MoE provided by a professional pollster?

The MoE is the interval on either side of the Polling Sample mean
in which there is a 95% confidence level (probability) of containing
the TRUE Population Mean.

Here is an example:
Assume a poll with a 2% MoE and Kerry is leading Bush by 52-48%.
Then there is a 95% probability that Kerry’s TRUE vote is in the range
from 50% to 54% {52-MoE, 52+MoE}.

Futhermore, the probability is 97.5% that Kerry’s vote will exceed 50%.

Here is the standard formula that ALL pollsters use to calculate MoE:

MoE = 1.96 * sqrt(p*(1-p)/n) * (1+CF)
where
n is the sample size.
p and 1-p are the 2-party vote shares.
CF is an exit poll "cluster effect" factor (see the example below).

The MoE decreases as the sample-size (n) increases.
The poll becomes more accurate as we take more samples.
It’s the Law of Large Numbers again.
Makes sense, right?
Remember the coin flips?

This result is not so obvious.
For a given sample size (n), the MoE is at it’s maximum value
when p =.50 (the two candidates are tied).
To put it another way:
The more one-sided the poll, the smaller the MoE.
In the 50/50 case, the formula can be simplified:
MoE = 1.96 * .5/sqrt(n) =.98/sqrt(n)

Let’s calculate the MoE for the 12:22am National Exit poll.
n = 13047 sampled respondents
p = Kerry’s true 2-party vote share = .515
1-p = Bush’s vote share = .485

MoE = 1.96 * sqrt (.515*.485/13047)= .0086 = 0.86%
Adding a 30% exit poll cluster effect:
MoE = 1.30*0.86% = 1.12%

The cluster effect is highly controversial.
We can only make a rough estimate of its impact on MoE.
The higher the cluster effect, the larger the MoE.
But cluster is only a factor in exit polls.
There is no MoE adjustment in pre-election or approval polls.

Why would a polling firm include the MoE if the poll was
not designed to be an effective random sample?

Pollsters use proven methodologies, such as cluster sampling,
stratified sampling, etc. to attain a near-perfect random sample.
________________________________________________________________

THE MATHEMATICAL FOUNDATION

This model demonstrates the Law of Large Numbers (LLN).
LLN is the foundation and bedrock of statistical analysis.
The model illustrates LLN through a simulation of polling samples.

In a statistical context, LLN states that the mean (average)of a
random sample taken from from a large population is likely
to be very close to the (true) mean of the population.

Start of math jargon alert…
In probability theory, several laws of large numbers say that
the mean (average) of a sequence of random variables with
a common distribution converges to their common mean as
the size of the sequence approaches infinity.

The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) is another famous result:
The sample means (averages) of an independent series of
random samples (i.e. polls) taken from the same population
will tend to be normally distributed (form the bell curve)
as the number of samples increase.
This holds for ALL practical statistical distributions.
End of math jargon alert….

It’s really not all that complicated.
The naysayers never consider LLN or CLT.
They would have us believe that professional pollsters are
incapable of creating accurate surveys (i.e. effectively random
samples) through systematic, clustered or stratified sampling.
Especially when a Bush is running.

LLN and CLT say nothing about bias.

__________________________________________________________________

USING RANDOM NUMBERS TO SIMULATE A SEQUENCE OF POLLS

Random number simulation is the best way to illustrate LLN:
These are the steps:
1) Assume a true 2-party vote percentage for Kerry (i.e. 51.5%).
2) Simulate a series of 8 polls of varying sample size.
3) Calculate the sample mean vote share and win probability for each poll.
4) Confirm LLN by noting that as the poll sample size increases,
the sample mean (average) converges to the population mean ("true" vote).

It’s just like flipping a coin.
Let Kerry be HEADS, with a 51.5% chance of winning a random voter.
This is Kerry’s TRUE vote (the population mean)
Bush is TAILS with a 48.5% chance.

A random number (RN) between zero and one is generated for each respondent.
If RN is LESS than Kerry’s TRUE share, the vote goes to Kerry.
If RN is GREATER than Kerry’s TRUE share, the vote goes to Bush.

For example, assume Kerry’s TRUE 51.5% vote share (.515).
If RN = .51, Kerry’s poll count is increased by one.
If RN = .53, Bush’s poll count is increased by one.

The sum of Kerry’s votes is divided by the poll sample (i.e. 13047).
This is Kerry’s simulated 2-party vote share.
It approaches his TRUE 51.50% vote share as poll samples increase.
Once again, the LLN applies as it did in the coin flip experiment.

________________________________________________________________

SIMULATION GRAPHICS

These graphs are a visual summary of the simulation.

Image

Image

________________________________________________________________

RUNNING THE SIMULATION

Press F9 run the simulation
Watch the numbers and graphs change.
They should NOT change significantly.

The graphs illustrate polling simulation output for:
Kerry’s 2-party vote (true population mean): 51.50%

Exit Poll Cluster effect (zero for pre-election):30%
The exit poll "cluster effect" is the incremental adjustment
to the margin of error in order to account for the clustering
of individuals with similar demographics at the exit polling site.

Play what-if:
Lower Kerry’s 2-party vote share from 51.5% to 50.5%.
Press F9 to run the simulation.
Kerry’s poll shares, corresponding win probabilities and
minimal threshold vote (97.5% confidence level), all DECLINE,
reflecting the lowering of his "true vote".

________________________________________________________________

POLLING SAMPLE-SIZE

Just like in the above coin-flipping example, the
Law of Large Numbers takes effect as poll sample-size increases.

That’s why the National Exit Poll was designed to
survey at least 13000 respondents.

Note the increasing sequence of polling sample size as we go
from the pre-election state (600) and national (1000) polls
to the state and National exit polls:
Ohio (1963), Florida (2846) and the National (13047).

Here is the National Exit Poll Timeline:
Updated ; respondents ; vote share
3:59pm: 8349 ; Kerry led 51-48
7:33pm: 11027 ; Kerry led 51-48
12:22am:13047 ; Kerry led 51-48

1:25pm: 13660 ; Bush led 51-48
The final was matched to the vote.
So much for letting LLN and CLT do their magic.
Especially when a Bush is running.

________________________________________________________________

CALCULATING PROBABILITIES

The Kerry win probabilities are the main focus of the simulation.
They closely match theoretical probabilities obtained from
the Excel Normal Distribution function.

The probabilities are calculated using two methods:
1) running the simulation and counting Kerry’s total polling votes.
2) calculating the Excel Normal Distribution function:
Prob = NORMDIST(PollPct, 0.50, MoE/1.96, true)

The simulation shows that given Kerry’s 3% lead in the 2-party vote
(12:22am National Exit Poll), his popular vote win probability
was nearly 100%. And that assumes a 30% exit poll cluster effect!

For a 2% lead (51-49), the win probability is 97.5% (still very high).
For a 1% lead (50.5-49.5), it’s 81% (4 out of 5).
For a 50/50 tie, it’s 50%. Even money. Makes sense, right?

The following probabilities are also calculated for each poll:
1) The 97.5% confidence level for Kerry’s vote share.
There is a 97.5% probability that Kerry’s true vote will be greater.
The minimum vote share increases as the sample size grows.

2) The probability of Bush achieving his recorded two-party vote (51.24%).
The probability is extremely low that Bush’s actual vote would deviate
from his true 48.5% two-party share.
The probability declines as the sample size grows.

________________________________________________________________

DOWNLOADING THE EXCEL MODEL

Wait one minute for the Excel model download.
It’s easy.
Just two inputs –
Kerry’s 2-party true vote share (51.5%) and
exit poll cluster effect (set to 30%).

Press F9 to run the simulation.

Or go here for a complete listing of threads from
TruthIsAll: www.TruthIsAll.net

Posted by autorank on Democratic Underground