Archive for the 'Operation Chaos' Category

TYT: Did Hillary Clinton Really Win Indiana?

Posted in '08 Primaries, Operation Chaos, Video on May 9th, 2008

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How Operation Chaos Caused Obama to Lose Indiana and Vote Shares Everywhere Else

Posted in '08 Primaries, Operation Chaos, TruthIsAll on May 8th, 2008

by TruthIsAll

The latest media myth is that Rush Limbaugh’s Operation Chaos had no effect on the Indiana primary. Their argument is that the Clinton-Obama (53-47) share of the 10% Republican crossover vote is virtually the same as the (51-49) split in the total vote. This analysis will show that were it not for Operation Chaos, Obama would have definitely won Indiana and very possibly Texas.

The media fails to recognize that since March 4, there have been two sets of Republican crossover voters. The first group consists of the 40-50% who were driven by Operation Chaos. The other consists of moderates who are strongly for Obama.

Final Exit poll data shows that since Operation Chaos began on March 4 in OH and TX, the percentage of Republican crossover voters has risen from 6% to 9%. The increase has been almost totally to Clinton’s benefit.

Prior to March 4 (before Operation Chaos), 7 primaries allowed Republicans to participate. Obama won their vote by an average of 59-28%. He won all 7 primaries by an average 58-37% share.

Since Operation Chaos began on March 4, 5 primaries have been open to Republicans. Clinton won their vote by an average 57-41%. Obama won 2 of the 5 primaries (but should have won 4). He had an average 51-47% share in the 5 primaries.

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results…


Republican Share of Democratic Primary Vote: Pre vs. Post March 4 (Operation Chaos)

Final Exit Polls									
Pre March 4
 		Total Share		Share of Rep	Difference	
	Rep%	HRC	BO 		HRC	BO 		HRC	BO 
AL	5%	42%	56%		52%	45%		10%	-11%
SC	4%	27%	53%		20%	37%		-7%	-16%
IL	6%	34%	65%		36%	60%		2%	-5%
MO	6%	44%	54%		21%	75%		-23%	21%
LA	5%	37%	56%		17%	53%		-20%	-3%
VA	7%	35%	64%		23%	72%		-12%	8%
WI	9%	40%	57%		28%	72%		-12%	15%
 
Avg	6%	37%	58%		28%	59%		-9%	1%
 									
Post March 4
 		Total Share		Share of Rep	Difference	
	Rep%	HRC	BO 		HRC	BO 		HRC	BO 
OH	9%	54%	44%		49%	49%		-5%	5%
TX	9%	51%	47%		46%	53%		-5%	6%
MS	12%	38%	60%		75%	25%		37%	-35%
IN	10%	50.1%	49.9%		53%	47%		3%	-3%
NC	5%	42%	56%		61%	32%		19%	-24%
 
Avg	9%	47%	51%		57%	41%		10%	-10%

__________________________________________________________

PARTY ID
Pre- March 4 
 
AL	MIX	HRC	BO 	JE					
Dem	82%	40%	58%	1%					
Rep	5%	52%	45%	3%					
Ind	13%	48%	48%	3%					
Total		41.6%	56.1%	1.4%					
 

SC
Dem	73%	28%	57%	14%					
Rep	4%	20%	37%	43%					
Ind	23%	26%	42%	32%					
Total		27.2%	52.8%	19.3%					
 

IL
Dem	79%	36%	63%	1%					
Rep	6%	36%	60%	4%					
Ind	16%	22%	72%	4%					
Total		34.1%	64.9%	1.7%					

 
MO
Dem	73%	50%	47%	2%					
Rep	6%	21%	75%	4%					
Ind	22%	30%	67%	2%					
Total		44.4%	53.6%	2.1%					
 

LA	MIX	HRC	BO 						
Dem	83%	38%	57%						
Rep	5%	17%	53%						
Ind	12%	36%	53%						
Total		36.7%	56.3%						
 

VA
Dem	70%	38%	62%						
Rep	7%	23%	72%						
Ind	22%	30%	69%						
Total		34.8%	63.6%						
 

WI
Dem	62%	46%	53%						
Rep	9%	28%	72%						
Ind	28%	33%	64%						
Total		40.3%	57.3%						
 
__________________________________________________________
 
Party ID
Post March 4 (Operation Chaos)									
 
OH	MIX	HRC	BO 						
Dem	69%	56%	42%						
Rep	9%	49%	49%						
Ind	22%	48%	50%						
Total		53.6%	44.4%						
 

TX
Dem	66%	53%	46%						
Rep	9%	46%	53%						
Ind	25%	48%	49%						
Total		51.1%	47.4%						
 

MS
Dem	71%	30%	67%						
Rep	12%	75%	25%						
Ind	17%	43%	53%						
Total		37.6%	59.6%						
 

IN
Dem	67%	51%	49%						
Rep	10%	53%	47%						
Ind	23%	46%	54%						
Total		50.1%	49.1%						
  

NC
Dem	76%	39%	60%						
Rep	5%	61%	32%						
Ind	19%	50%	45%						
Total		42.2%	55.8%	

Original Article

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